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The UFC sets up shop in Long Island, New York for the first time in history That weekend for UFC on Fox 25.

The main event features an intriguing middleweight battle with New York native Chris Weidman trying to end an ugly series of fights against Kelvin Gastelum.
The remaining portion of the card features several fun fights for some hardcore fans. Keep an eye on Jimmie Rivera vs Thomas Almeida, that has serious struggle of the nighttime possible.
Weidman (+140), the former UFC middleweight champion, is in need of a win in this bout to prove he belongs among the division’s elite. ‘The All-American’ is a pressure-based fighter at the striking game who’ll push ahead behind a steady, if sometimes loose jab. Weidman likes to throw kicks and he can do this at all three levels with a preference toward the waist. The biggest issue is that his propensity to move in a straight line, both forward and backward.
This stress helps Weidman push his competitor to the cage in which he could start to work his grappling game. He’ll throw varied strikes in the clinch and this will help open up his wrestling. A former D1 wrestler, Weidman’s takedown method is eloquent and he also uses it both defensively and offensively. When he is on the mat, then you can really see Weidman shine with his mix of wrestling ability along with his black belt in BJJ.
Gastelum (-170) gets the aggression and speed in the striking department to help conquer his size disadvantage at middleweight. He overwhelms his opponent with volume and will constantly probe with his jab. He is primarily a boxer in the standup match but his feet are only as dangerous as a result of his speed and motion. Combining this strain with his ability to keep his lead foot on the outside makes Gastelum deadly on the toes.
Gastelum’s athleticism helps greatly in his wrestling match, as his takedowns are mostly based in an opportunistic explosion. That will not assist with his shield, as he’s far from the best defensively. Gastelum has always had trouble against high quality wrestlers and that could only grow given the leap up to middleweight.
This is an interesting fight for the future of this 185-pound division. The division is deep with talent but one of both of these fighters could be looked at elite moving ahead. That being said, Weidman and Gastelum are both likely two wins away from a title shot with the division being congested.

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This weekend, we have a 13-fight card in Philly on big ESPN. DraftKings has some strong contests and I look forward to pursuing the big GPPs. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $30k belongs to 1st place with a total of $500k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first place cost and $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 admissions that qualify. I won my first chair into it a couple weeks back and I will try to get my 2nd seat this week if possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers so be cautious chasing those too hard. I will probably stick to the top GPP this week and then throw a handful of entries at that $30 decoration, then I will likely have a couple shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a good quantity of play into cash games.
With that said, let’s get to a few plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Main Event Stack, Justin Gaethje AND Edson Barboza
While I stack a fight in money games I want a minimum of 100 total points. Ideally much more like 150 or more, but I’ll take 100-point floor with all the guaranteed win. With Gaethje fights, we’re pretty much locked into that 100+ and we have seen his struggles even complete over 200 DK points. He is the best design for accruing DraftKings points and should we utilize Edson too, then we’re guaranteed a win and probably 150+ factors. Give me that all day. This is how I’ll be starting my cash lineup and then I will work out the rest from there. I shall take the loss because we do not desire 6 wins in money games. 1st place and 5th place get paid the exact same in a 10-man double-up, so I am not shooting first and I’d rather play it safer with my cash lineups.
GPP play of this week — Enrique Barzola — $8,200
This isn’t a sneaky play whatsoever but Barzola should be a terrific play when he shoots for takedowns. In his 5 UFC wins he’s 36 takedowns. That’s exactly what we want on DraftKings. Each takedown is 5-points and he can stand up enough to score 100+ points. If he could score over 100 DK points here at $8.2k he’s for sure going to acquire somebody $30k. I really do expect him to be chalky this week, but he has too much scoring possible I’d like to fade the chalk. I will likely be in accord with the area on possession with my lineups, if not overweight.
Underdog play of this week — Michelle Waterson — $7,600
I like Waterson here because she’s the fighter that will be searching for takedowns in this fight. I believe she can find a few and she could have the ability to lock a entry if that is the case. That is her ceiling in this fight, but I enjoy her for cash games due to her floor. I don’t see KK finishing Waterson, so I think we get three complete rounds of scoring from her. In a loss she could place up 30-40 DK points and in money games that is fine. I’ll use her in GPPs also, but I do not think she submits KK. I’d guess she places up around ~80 DK points in a decision win if she’s able to receive the victory.
Fade of this week — Sabina Mazo ($8,800)
I am spreading my vulnerability out on the majority of the favorites this week in GPPs however Mazo is the one I am interested at least. I believe the only way she outscores her 8.8k salary would be by getting another head kick KO. I really don’t think that is very likely at all and I think that a decision win is likely for her. I don’t see her heading for almost any takedowns or obtaining many/any knockdowns, so I don’t see the way she scores tremendously in a decision win. I will have zero lineups with Mazo this week and when I was making 100 lineups I’d still likely full fade . Hopefully it doesn’t burn me, however, she’s my fade of the week.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all my pick predictions, then you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are available at that link too. I’m 63-41for +210.99 (+$21,099) because May 19th on Premium Plays)

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Busch won the NACSAR Gander Outdoors Truck Series race.

He went down a lap at the NASCAR Xfinity Series. He still came back to win the race, holding off a late fee in Christopher Bell, Tyler Reddick and John Hunter Nemechek.

Kyle Busch has won at every race track around the schedule. He is a safe bet everywhere. But, he has added motivation to finish the sweep.

Kevin Harvick was the odds on favorite to win this weekend in Las Vegas Motor Speedway. He is the winner at LVMS. However, following closing practice his 5.5-1 chances dropped to 10-1.

Harvick will start from the pole. He also stated that he did not have the quickest car. He piled up 15th in the clinic and 29th in practice.

Jimmie Johnson also sits in 30-1 odds. He is a four time champion at this course. His last win came from 2010.

Richard Childress Racing has shown speed this weekend. Both practice sessions have spanned. But he sits at 30-1 odds. His last win came in the 2018 Daytona 500.

Austin Dillon at the NASCAR garage area at Las Vegas Motor SpeedwayLAS VEGAS, NV — MARCH 02: Crew members push the #3 Dow SILASTIC Silicone Elastomers Chevrolet through the garage area during a rain-delayed clinic for the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 2, 2019 at Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Sarah Crabill/Getty Images)
Looking for a lengthy shot at LVMS?
Daniel Hemric is the other Part of the Richard Childress Racing stable. He was 2nd fastest in both practice sessions. Austin Dillon, 2nd to teammate.

Alex Bowman nearly claimed the pole. He missed getting to the line to start his lap. Had he reached the line in time, Bowman will be starting in the pole now.

View the odds to win at Las Vegas Motor Speedway below.

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The UFC sets up shop in Long Island, New York for the first time in history That weekend for UFC on Fox 25.

The main event features a fascinating middleweight battle with New York native Chris Weidman looking to end an ugly string of fights against Kelvin Gastelum.
The remaining portion of the card includes several fun fights for some hard-core fans. Keep an eye on Jimmie Rivera vs Thomas Almeida, that has serious struggle of the night possible.
Weidman (+140), the former UFC middleweight champion, is needing a triumph in this bout to prove that he belongs among the division’s elite. ‘The All-American’ is a pressure-based fighter at the striking game who will push ahead behind a stable, if occasionally loose jab. Weidman likes to throw kicks and he will do so at all three levels with a taste toward the midsection. The biggest problem is that his propensity to move in a straight line, both forward and backward.
This pressure helps Weidman push his opponent to the cage in which he could start to work his fighting match. He will throw diverse strikes in the clinch and this helps open up his wrestling. A former D1 wrestler, Weidman’s takedown method is smooth and he uses it both defensively and offensively. When he is on the mat, you really can see Weidman glow with his mix of wrestling ability and his black belt in BJJ.
Gastelum (-170) has the aggression and speed in the striking department to assist conquer his size disadvantage at middleweight. He overwhelms his competitor with quantity and will constantly probe with his jab. He is primarily a boxer in the standup match but his toes are only as dangerous due to his speed and movement. Combining this strain with his ability to keep his lead foot on the outside makes Gastelum lethal on the feet.
Gastelum’s athleticism assists considerably in his wrestling game, as his takedowns are mostly based on an opportunistic explosion. That will not help with his defense, as he’s far from the top defensively. Gastelum has had trouble against high-quality wrestlers which could only grow given the jump up to middleweight.
This is an intriguing fight for the future of the 185-pound division. The division is deep with talent but only one of both of these fighters could be looked at elite moving ahead. That having been said, Weidman and Gastelum are both likely two wins away from a title taken with the division being so congested.

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The former bantamweight champion might be returning to the cage that this summer for the first time in almost three decades. It was reported that this week on UFC Tonight the Dominick Cruz, the former UFC bantamweight champion, is targeting a return to the Octagon at UFC 177, which is set to take place August 30 in Las Vegas, Nevada. According to Cruz’ head trainer at Alliance MMA at San Diego, Eric Del Fierro, their camp wants Cruz to shoot on top competition Takeya Mizugaki in his comeback match. With a win over Mizugaki, Cruz would put himself really near getting another crack. Cruz hasn’t fought since October 2011, when he defeated present UFC flyweight champion Demetrious Johnson through five-round unanimous decision in a strategic event. Total Cruz defended the UFC/WEC bantamweight title four times between 2010 and 2011 before suffering a significant knee injury in 2012 which has kept him out of the cage for more than two decades now. But it ought to be noted that he currently has one of the longest winning streaks of any fighter in the division with 10-straight victories over the likes of Urijah Faber, Brian Bowles, Joseph Benavidez, Scott Jorgensen, Ian McCall, as well as the above Johnson. Despite missing so much time, the UFC let him hold on his belt until this past year, when enough was enough and the promotion stripped the name from him and gave it into interim bantamweight champ Renan Barao. UFC president Dana White explained that Cruz would exude an immediate name shot upon his return into the cage, but with TJ Dillashaw bothering Barao and taking the name this past May at UFC 173, it makes more sense for Cruz to combat somebody else prior to getting another crack in the belt. A struggle between Cruz and Mizugaki would be outstanding, and it might help ascertain where exactly”The Dominator” fits in the division at the present time. At one stage he was considered one of the top five pound-for-pound fighters on earth, but after missing so much time with harm and having so much cage rust, so it is logical for him to struggle somebody first before getting his title shot, and the matchup between Mizugaki makes a whole lot of sense. Whether this struggle goes does, Cruz would put in the struggle as a minor favorite but with so much time and also with Mizugaki on this a nice streak right now, there’s no way it’s a gimme struggle by any means and there might certainly be an upset brewing if Cruz is not anywhere near what he used to seem like.
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Kevin Harvick is off to a slower start than a year ago, but that doesn’t in any way damage how dangerous he’ll be at ISM Raceway at Phoenix on Sunday for the TicketGuardian 500.

Harvick has two career wins at the one-mile monitor and finishes in the top 10 at 65.6 percent of the races there. He is definitely the favorite.

As good as he’s, Kyle Busch cannot be underestimated with two career wins in Phoenix and seven top 7s in his past seven races. He has finished in the top 4 in six of the past seven efforts there.

This race will be a duel between the two and whoever gets out in front at the onset of the phase will probably be the absolute favorite to win. This time we’re going to select Busch to come out the victor, as he might have picked up the win had it not been for a speeding penalty on pit road.

The TicketGuardian 500 could be seen Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET on FOX.

Which will be the betting odds for the TicketGuardian 500?
Kevin Harvick 9/4
Kyle Busch 7/2
Brad Keselowski 7/1
Joey Logano 8/1
Martin Truex Jr. 10/1
Chase Elliott 10/1
Denny Hamlin 15/1
Kyle Larson 20/1
Aric Almirola 20/1
Clint Bowyer 25/1
Erik Jones 25/1
Kurt Busch 30/1
Ryan Blaney 30/1
Austin Dillon 50/1
Alex Bowman 50/1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 50/1
Jimmie Johnson 50/1
Daniel Suarez 60/1
Ryan Newman 100/1
William Byron 100/1
Daniel Hemric 100/1
Paul Menard 100/1
Ryan Preece 200/1
Chris Buescher 200/1
Matt DiBenedetto 200/1
Darrell “Bubba” Wallace Jr. 500/1
Ty Dillon 1000/1
Michael McDowell 2000/1
David Ragan 2000/1
Field (all others) 500/1
Which drivers if you watch in the TicketGuardian 500?
Aric Almirola was quietly good this season with two top 10s in his last two races and just a pole to his name. He will likely have a fantastic week as he has finishes of ninth, seventh and fourth .

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There are a couple intriguing new bouts which have been shown for upcoming battle cards, and below are my initial reactions to those bouts in the current MMA odds and ends.
Johnny Walker vs. Misha Cirkunov, UFC 235
An accident to Ovince Saint-Preux has knocked him out of his UFC 235 matchup from Misha Cirkunov, also filling in on short notice will be Johnny Walker. UFC 235 occur March 2 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. MMAFighting.com broke the news of the replacement matchup. Walker (16-3) seems like he is the upcoming huge thing in 205lbs. The Brazilian is on an eight-fight win streak and is 2-0 in the UFC with back-to-back KOs over Justin Ledet and Khalil Rountree. He’s a superstar in the making and this battle will give him the chance to beat a ranked fighter and leap in the branch’s top-10. Cirkunov (14-4) is 5-1 at the UFC with all of his wins coming by stoppage, but he has been knocked out two. Cirkunov was arguably the best prospect in the light heavyweight division at the same point, but Walker is now, and I would have to believe Walker will be a large favorite to win this fight.
Alejandro Perez vs. Cody Stamann, UFC 235
Due to an accident to Song Yadong, Alejandro Perez will take on Cody Stamann in UFC 235. Perez (21-6-1) is 7-1-1 in the UFC and conquer Eddie Wineland in his last struggle. Stamann (17-2) is currently 3-1 at the UFC and is coming off of a submission loss to Aljamain Sterling. Perez has an awesome record but stylistically Stamann presents matchup problems for him. I believe Perez is going to be the favorite due to his win series, however, Stamann is very live here.
Luis Pena vs. Steven Peterson, UFC Fight Night 148
Featherweights Luis Pena and Steven Peterson will meet UFC Fight Night 148, taking place March 23 at Bridgestone Arena at Nashville, Tennessee. Rodney James broke the news. Pena (5-1) is 1-1 at the UFC and also lost a split decision to Michael Trizano his last time out. Peterson (17-7) is 1-1 in the UFC too and is coming from a split decision win over Matt Bessete. Close battle here between two guys who need to obtain more consistency, but depending on his popularity Pena will be the betting favorite in this one despite making his 145lbs introduction.
David Branch vs. Jack Hermansson, UFC on ESPN 2 Middleweights David Branch and Jack Hermansson are set to lock horns in UFC on ESPN two, occurring March 30 at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Branch (22-5) is 2-2 in his most recent stint at the UFC but is coming off of a surprising KO loss to Jared Cannonier. Hermansson (18-4) is 5-2 at the Octagon and is coming from back-to-back stoppage wins over Thales Leites and Gerald Meerschaert. Branch was on a great win series for a while but both knockout losses he’s from the UFC worries me. I’d have to prefer Hermansson within this one only based on his momentum and also the fact he’s the younger and larger fighter in this matchup.
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Four MMA legends are back in the news , and you’ll be able to read what they’re up to below.
Bellator Books Lyoto Machida vs. Chael Sonnen
Bellator continues to book legends struggles and now that the advertising has signed a light heavyweight competition between Lyoto Machida and Chael Sonnen. ESPN’s Ariel Helwani confirmed the booking, though Bellator has not announced a date or location for the competition as of yet. Notably, the contest will occur at 205lbs after Machida last competed at middleweight and Sonnen at heavyweight.
Machida (25-8) defeated Rafael Carvalho via split decision in his Bellator introduction and defeat both Eryk Anders and Vitor Belfort earlier that at the Octagon in what was a comeback 2018 to get”The Dragon.” Though he is 40-years-old today, Machida revealed last year that he still has a lot of gas left in the tank. Many believed he had been next in line for a rematch against Bellator middleweight champion Gegard Mousasi, but rather he’ll move up to light heavyweight with this big struggle against Sonnen.
Sonnen (31-16-1) is 2-2 at Bellator and is coming off of a TKO loss to Fedor Emelianenko in the semifinals of the Bellator Heavyweight Grand Prix. Prior to that, Sonnen had defeated Quinton”Rampage” Jackson from the tournament quarterfinals and Wanderlei Silva before that. Though he’s 41 now and no more an elite fighter, Sonnen proceeds to land big-name matchups due to his entertaining struggles and vibrant personality.
As far as the betting line goes, look for Machida to be a big favorite in this one. His solid takedown defense skills combined with vicious knockout power against a chinny fighter such as Sonnen makes this a very favorable matchup on paper.
ONE Championship Inks Vitor Belfort
After a year’s signings of both Eddie Alvarez, Demetrious Johnson and Sage Northcutt, it appears that ONE Championship isn’t done signing former UFC fighters just yet. The Singapore-based MMA advertising announced over the weekend it’s signed former UFC light heavyweight champion Vitor Belfort to some new, multi-fight contract. Belfort was released from the UFC after announcing his retirement after a KO loss to Machida in May 2018, but ONE gave him an offer he can’t deny, and he will finish his short-lived retirement when he struggles for ONE after this year, probably in Brazil because the advertising looks to expand in South America.
ONE has not announced who Belfort’s first opponent is going to be, however there are loads of alternatives for him. Most likely Belfort is going to be ticketed into a heavyweight fight as he will not need to cut weight in that circumstance. ONE could easily give Belfort a title fight against their heavyweight champion Brandon Vera, but they may want to provide him an easier battle against a journeyman for example James McSweeney. Roger Gracie is the advertising’s light heavyweight/cruiserweight winner, but he has not fought in a couple of decades. Perhaps ONE could book that fight in Brazil. As well, Belfort stated he’d be interested in boxing and boxing fights. Personally, I think the 41-year-old Belfort should have stayed retired, but at least he’ll make some good cash under the 1 banner. Cro Cop Retires
Legendary heavyweight Mirko Cro Cop has retired, only weeks after a decision win over Roy Nelson in Bellator. Based on reports, Cro Cop suffered a stroke and must retire. Cro Cop (38-11-2, 1 NC) will retire at age 44 among the best heavyweights to compete in the game. He will retire on a 10-fight win series, one that saw him struggle and compete all over the world to find the best promotions in MMA. We at MMAOB want Cro Cop the very best of luck in retirement.
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